BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Estherville Lincoln Central

Class: 2A Class Rank: 76 Conference: (1-15) Overall: (3-19) Overall Strength =   59.24

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/01/2006 Home    W    67.96  52   42   2A   72 (14- 8) North Iowa             10.90     -0.90                      
  2 12/05/2006 Away    L *  47.60  54   70   3A   50 ( 4-18) Storm Lake             -9.45     -6.55                      
  3 12/08/2006 Home    L *  62.44  38   49   3A   23 (11-11) Spencer                 5.39    -16.39                      
  4 12/12/2006 Home    L *  52.97  34   65   2A    6 (20- 3) Emmetsburg             -4.09 *  -26.91                      
  5 12/15/2006 Away    L *  60.88  47   76   3A    5 (19- 5) LeMars                  3.83 *  -32.83                      
  6 12/16/2006 Home    L    56.84  54   66   3A   34 (16- 6) Forest City            -0.22    -11.78                      
  7 12/21/2006 Home    L *  62.17  59   65   3A   35 ( 9-12) Spirit Lake             5.11    -11.11  was 12/22 now 12/21 
  8 01/05/2007 Home    L *  55.07  44   49   2A   63 ( 6-17) Cherokee Washington    -1.99     -3.01                      
  9 01/06/2007 Away    W    63.73  58   40   1A   97 ( 9-12) Armstrong-Ringsted      6.67     11.33                      
 10 01/12/2007 Away    L *  48.20  35   80   2A    2 (22- 6) Western Christian      -8.86 *  -36.14                      
 11 01/16/2007 Away    L *  57.66  35   62   2A    9 (21- 4) Sheldon                 0.60 *  -27.60                      
 12 01/19/2007 Home    W *  72.75  52   39   3A   50 ( 4-18) Storm Lake             15.69     -2.69                      
 13 01/23/2007 Away    L *  50.30  37   64   3A   23 (11-11) Spencer                -6.76    -20.24                      
 14 01/26/2007 Away    L *  51.83  37   73   2A    6 (20- 3) Emmetsburg             -5.23 *  -30.77                      
 15 01/30/2007 Home    L *  56.03  51   81   3A    5 (19- 5) LeMars                 -1.03 *  -28.97                      
 16 02/03/2007 Home    L    57.06  22   72   EX    1 ( 1- 0) Jackson County Centr    0.00 *  -50.00                      
 17 02/06/2007 Away    L *  51.02  50   71   3A   35 ( 9-12) Spirit Lake            -6.04    -14.96                      
 18 02/09/2007 Away    L *  55.92  59   67   2A   63 ( 6-17) Cherokee Washington    -1.13     -6.87                      
 19 02/10/2007 Away    L    64.06  56   57   2A   61 (14- 9) Lake Mills              7.00     -8.00                      
 20 02/13/2007 Home    L *  41.34  31   79   2A    2 (22- 6) Western Christian     -15.72 *  -32.28                      
 21 02/17/2007 Home    L *  65.81  49   64   2A    9 (21- 4) Sheldon                 8.75    -23.75  was 01/08 then 02/16 now 2/17
 22 02/19/2007 Away    L    53.63  43   61   2A   35 (12-12) Hartley HMS            -3.43    -14.57                      
      Averages              57.06  45.3 63.3

Best game:   72.75 = 13 point win over Storm Lake
Worst game:  41.34 = 48 point loss to Hull Western Christian
Team stdev:   7.45